Experts in a Pandemic

I’m an Expert

No, I’m not. But, they’re more prevalent than a virus and I’m tired of hearing them spew their expert drivel across the internet during this Pandemic. How expert are they anyways? I mean, here we are in a Pandemic. Where were they when we had time to prevent this? Now, they have all this expert advice on washing hands, masks and flattening curves.

Experts can be dead wrong. Experts have exacerbated this calamity. Now, in the midst of a global pandemic, they are digging us deeper into a rabbit hole of indecision, confusion and panic with their fake news based on facts, or lack of facts and twisted logic in the case of a denominator to predict the fatality of this deadly virus. In a Pandemic, we have to make decisions sometimes without all the facts. We are allowing a dangerous precedence when we allow these type of experts to advise our president, influence our people and confuse the press. At the very least, it’s arrogant. At worst, it’s killing people. And, I’m sick of all the expert citing on social media by well meaning people, some of them my friends. The naysayers, trolls and non-snopers spread that crap literally at the speed of light.

In the last 3 days daily deaths have doubled to 8K per day globally. And people are still citing experts that say we don’t know the fatality rate relative to the Flu yet. They say, “we really can’t know for sure because we don’t know how many are infected”. True, the number or deaths, divided by the number of infected, the denominator is the fatality rate of the virus. The Flu is .1% in the US. For Covid-19, this won’t be known with 100% certainty for a while, if ever, and at the moment, it doesn’t matter. We don’t need to know.

We don’t need a denominator to come to a relatively certain projection on what’s going to happen in the next month or two. and CDC are reporting all the data we need to see that there will likely be 240K deaths in the US alone by the end of this month. Globally, Covid-19 deaths are already close to 10 times what the actual flu deaths are this year at a minimum. No denominator required. WTH? I’m no expert and I know this using common sense.

So, how can an expert say today that “we don’t know if this is deadlier then the flu”. Of course it is. Shut up!

On Feb. 29, 2020, the US Surgeon General said this on Twitter….”Seriously people- STOP BUYING MASKS! They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching coronavirus

It’s April 4th, 2020 and we still can’t even agree on whether a mask is bad or good. C’mon! That is a misconception created by “experts”. We’ll look back on this argument decades from now with absolute ridicule. It’s a mask!!! It works like a mask. It works. Shut up!

In the 2nd century BC, Eratosthenes projected the circumference of the earth using a simple observation of a shadow from a rod sticking out of a couple wells. His accuracy was within 10% and was only made more accurate centuries later by “experts” with better technology. All these Pandemic experts saying it’s “just not possible” until we have a denominator is BS, endless gibberish leading to nothing informative. Because of all the experts and their hang-ups on perfect science, perfect data and denominators, most people will never believe the numbers, even years from now.

If experts can’t make predictions because they’re too hung up on exact variables, they should stop criticizing those that make predictions based on simple observations and step aside so those that are bold enough can speak up and inform, advise and influence faster and smarter, decisions.

Use simple observations. That’s what the rest of us do. And when your advice doesn’t make sense vs common sense, we lose trust in experts, further paralyzing our species from making the correct life and death decisions. I guess common sense isn’t so common amongst experts.

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